how to interpret decision tree results in python

The contribution for a feature is the total change in the percentage caused from that feature. Even otherwise straightforward decision trees which are of great depth and/or breadth, consisting of heavy branching, can be difficult to trace. For classification trees, the splits are chosen so as to minimize entropy or Gini impurity in the resulting subsets. By subscribing you accept KDnuggets Privacy Policy, Decision Tree Classifiers: A Concise Technical Overview, Toward Increased k-means Clustering Efficiency with the Naive Sharding Centroid Initialization Method, Automatically Segmenting Data With Clustering. The top courses for aspiring data scientists, Compute Goes Brrr: Revisiting Sutton’s Bitter Lesson for AI, Kubernetes vs. Amazon ECS for Data Scientists. For males, the contribution increases initially and then decreases when shell weight is above 0.5. And this is generally true. This often leads to overfitting on the training dataset. Image from my Understanding Decision Trees for Classification (Python) Tutorial.. Decision trees are a popular supervised learning method for a variety of reasons. # List to store the average RMSE for each value of max_depth: importances = pd.DataFrame({'feature':X_train.columns,'importance':np.round(clf.feature_importances_,3)}), sensitive to effects of not standardizing your data, Python for Data Visualization LinkedIn Learning course, https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelgalarnyk/, I created my own YouTube algorithm (to stop me wasting time), All Machine Learning Algorithms You Should Know in 2021, Object Oriented Programming Explained Simply for Data Scientists. Additionally, certain textual representations can have further use beyond their summary capabilities. Take a look, IG = information before splitting (parent) — information after splitting (children), X_train, X_test, Y_train, Y_test = train_test_split(df[data.feature_names], df['target'], random_state=0), from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier. The previous sections went over the theory of classification trees. Shucked weight, on the other hand, has a non-linear, non-monotonic relation with the contribution. There are no more remaining attributes. The above plots, while insightful, still do not give us a full understanding on how a specific variable affects the number of rings an abalone has. The code below outputs the accuracy for decision trees with different values for max_depth. One of the reasons why it is good to learn how to make decision trees in a programming language is that working with data can help in understanding the algorithm. It is a pure node. Suppose we instead are trying to predict sex, i.e., whether the abalone is a female, male, or an infant. In the example above (for a particular train test split of iris), the petal width has the highest feature importance weight. The decision tree above can now predict all the classes of animals present in the data set. The contributions variable, dt_reg_contrib, is a 2d numpy array with dimensions (n_obs, n_features), where n_obs is the number of observations and n_features is the number of features. Again, the algorithm chooses the best split point (we will get into mathematical methods in the next section) for the impure node. We will try to predict the number of rings based on variables such as shell weight, length, diameter, etc. Decision trees work by iteratively splitting the data into distinct subsets in a greedy fashion. Starting at the root node, you would first ask “Is the petal length (cm) ≤ 2.45”? How classification trees make predictions, How to use scikit-learn (Python) to make classification trees. 2. Look at the partial tree below (A), the question, “petal length (cm) ≤ 2.45” splits the data into two branches based on some value (2.45 in this case). It is important to note that when performing cross validation or similar, you can use an average of the feature importance values from multiple train test splits. For example, Python’s scikit-learn allows you to preprune decision trees. However, being mostly black box, it is oftentimes hard to interpret and fully understand. With that, let’s get started! Additionally, you can get the number of leaf nodes for a trained decision tree by using the get_n_leaves method. An abalone with a viscera weight of 0.1 and a shell weight of 0.1 would end up in the left-most leaf (with probabilities of 0.082, 0.171, and 0.747). (Non Math Version). The code below loads the iris dataset. If you have any questions or thoughts on the tutorial, feel free to reach out in the comments below or through Twitter. Luckily, most classification tree implementations allow you to control for the maximum depth of a tree which reduces overfitting. For a specific split, the contribution of the variable that determined the split is defined as the change in mean number of rings. Simple Python Package for Comparing, Plotting & Evaluatin... How Data Professionals Can Add More Variation to Their Resumes. Classification trees are a greedy algorithm which means by default it will continue to split until it has a pure node. Proceed to the next decision node and ask, “Is the petal length (cm) ≤ 4.95”? The code below puts 75% of the data into a training set and 25% of the data into a test set. Notice the rightside of figure B shows that many points are misclassified as versicolor. Rank <= 6.5 means that every comedian with a rank of 6.5 or lower will follow the True arrow (to the left), and the rest will follow the False arrow (to the right). It would result in no further information gain. It is important to keep in mind that max_depth is not the same thing as depth of a decision tree. As always, the code used in this tutorial is available on my GitHub (anatomy, predictions). For a clearer understanding of parent and children, look at the decision tree below. Scikit-learn outputs a number between 0 and 1 for each feature. max_depth is a way to preprune a decision tree. It is a non-linear tree-based model that often provides accurate results. For regression trees, they are chosen to minimize either the MSE (mean squared error) or the MAE (mean absolute error) within all of the subsets. Now, it’s time to build a prediction model using the decision tree in Python. 2. In other words, you can set the maximum depth to stop the growth of the decision tree past a certain depth. I should note the next section of the tutorial will go over how to choose an optimal max_depth for your tree. You can learn about it’s time complexity here. While this tutorial has covered changing selection criterion (Gini index, entropy, etc) and max_depth of a tree, keep in mind that you can also tune minimum samples for a node to split (min_samples_leaf), max number of leaf nodes (max_leaf_nodes), and more. The basic idea behind any decision tree algorithm is as follows: 1. In the code below, I set the max_depth = 2 to preprune my tree to make sure it doesn’t have a depth greater than 2. Application of Decision tree with Python Here we will use the sci-kit learn package to implement the decision tree. But let's not get off course -- interpretability is the goal of what we are discussing here. For a visual understanding of maximum depth, you can look at the image below. The value between the nodes is called a split point. We’ll now predict if a consumer is likely to repay a loan using the decision tree algorithm in Python. This process of determining the contributions of features can naturally be extended to random forests by taking the mean contribution for a variable across all trees in the forest. 3. Each step splits the current subset into two. I am not going to go into more detail on this as it should be noted that different impurity measures (Gini index and entropy) usually yield similar results. This tutorial covers decision trees for classification also known as classification trees. A good value (one that results in largest information gain) for a split point is one that does a good job of separating one class from the others. If you ever wonder what the depth of your trained decision tree is, you can use the get_depth method. This work is an extension of the work done by Ando Saabas (https://github.com/andosa/treeinterpreter). Decision trees split on the feature and corresponding split point that results in the largest information gain (IG) for a given criterion (gini or entropy in this example). A more proper formula for information gain formula is below. This is True so you could predict the flower species as versicolor. Since classification trees have binary splits, the formula can be simplified into the formula below. Note, one of the benefits of Decision Trees is that you don’t have to standardize your data unlike PCA and logistic regression which are sensitive to effects of not standardizing your data. Diameter appears to have a dip in contribution at about 0.45 and a peak in contribution around 0.3 and 0.6.

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